Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4348
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
YX 4348 · LGA → BGR
departs 2:48 PM ET · arrives 4:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 28%
Thu 10/8 31%
Fri 10/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±9 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at BGR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BGR?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into BGR at that hour are often late
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at BGR that day
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 3,833 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BGR (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.