YX 4349 · LGA → ATL

departs 12:14 PM ET · arrives 3:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5.33333 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4349 · LGA → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?