YX 4432 · LGA → TYS

took off 12:02 PM ET · expected to land 1:47 PM ET (scheduled 12:07 PM ET → 2:36 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TYS?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at LGA that day

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TYS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4432 · LGA → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?