YX 4432 · TYS → LGA

took off 3:08 PM ET · landed 4:36 PM ET (scheduled 2:51 PM ET → 4:58 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ LGA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4432 · TYS → LGA

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGA?