YX 4437 · LGA → PIT

departs 8:08 AM ET · arrives 9:48 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ LGA is busy at that time

↑ 8am departures from LGA are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into PIT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4437 · LGA → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?