YX 4467 · PWM → LGA

departs 12:05 PM ET · arrives 1:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ PWM is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

PWM (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4467 · PWM → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?