YX 4525 · PIT → ORD

departs 10:01 AM ET · arrives 10:50 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4525 · PIT → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?