Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4532
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
YX 4532 · RDU → PIT
departs 8:00 AM ET · arrives 9:25 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 6%
Fri 10/9 7%
Sat 10/10 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
RDU is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at RDU that day
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Arrivals into PIT at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip none
PIT (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.