Schedule: FAA flight plans.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4601
SCHEDULED
Today
YX 4601 · ORD → MSN
departs 10:00 PM CT · arrives 11:04 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
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How late will it get to MSN?
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On time or early
77%
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15–30 min late
15%
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30 min–1 hour late
<1%
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1–2 hours late
7%
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Over 2 hours late
<1%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.