YX 4628 · CVG → BOS

took off 8:37 PM ET · landed 10:14 PM ET (scheduled 6:19 PM ET → 8:40 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BOS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4628 · CVG → BOS

Odds over time

How late did it get to BOS?