Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4698 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

YX 4698 · BOS → ROC

departs 9:41 AM ET · arrives 10:39 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ Gusts to 29 kt forecast at ROC that day

↓ ROC usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

ROC (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4698 · BOS → ROC

Odds over time