Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4794 LANDED 3:22 PM ET, ~23 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

YX 4794 · ILM → BOS

took off 1:33 PM ET · landed 3:22 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↓ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at BOS that day

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

ILM (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.09 in

BOS (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4794 · ILM → BOS

Odds over time