YX 5640 · LGA → SAV

departs 3:41 PM ET · arrives 6:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±17 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAV?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at SAV that day

↑ 3pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SAV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7.14286 mi Precipnone

SAV (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.98 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5640 · LGA → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?