Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5767
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
YX 5767 · ACK → LGA
departs 4:40 PM ET · arrives 6:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±11 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave ACK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
ACK is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
ACK (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.15 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.