YX 5775 · PIT → JFK

departs 12:09 PM ET · arrives 1:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from PIT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,867 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5775 · PIT → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?