YX 5804 · BOS → LGA

departs 6:08 AM ET · arrives 7:29 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

LGA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,967 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5804 · BOS → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?