YX 5842 · DTW → PIT

departs 8:33 AM ET · arrives 9:51 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8am departures from DTW are often late

↑ DTW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5842 · DTW → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?