Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AVIANCA ECUADOR · FLIGHT 2K 7397 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 6 Today

2K 7397 · JFK → UIO

departs 1:46 AM ET · arrives 6:21 AM -05

Your aircraft is N775AV (A20N).

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at UIO more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↑ 1am departures from JFK are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at UIO

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

UIO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

2K 7397 · JFK → UIO

Odds over time