9E 5005 · CVG → AUS

departs 8:46 AM ET · arrives 10:34 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AUS is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5005 · CVG → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?