9E 5117 · DTW → CHA

departs 1:09 PM ET · arrives 2:55 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHA?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CHA at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ DTW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CHA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5117 · DTW → CHA

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHA?