Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5433 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 6 Tomorrow

9E 5433 · DTW → CHS

departs 7:55 PM ET · arrives 10:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Arrivals into CHS at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CHS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5433 · DTW → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?