Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5459 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 6 Tomorrow

9E 5459 · JFK → SAV

departs 6:59 PM ET · arrives 9:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAV?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SAV that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAV (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5459 · JFK → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?