Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 2341 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 6 Tomorrow

9K 2341 · PVC → BOS

departs 12:11 AM ET · arrives 12:34 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVC

Weather at each end

PVC (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 2341 · PVC → BOS

Odds over time