Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 952
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6 Tomorrow
9X 952 · HNL → MKK
departs 8:17 AM HT · arrives 9:09 AM HT
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Tue 10/6
Sat 10/10 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKK more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1.1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at MKK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKK?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↑
9X's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into MKK at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MKK (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.