AA 1141 · LAX → ATL

departs 9:37 AM PT · arrives 5:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at ATL that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1141 · LAX → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?