Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1793SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1793 · PHX → SAN
departs 7:23 AM MT · arrives 8:49 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
9%chance · ±0 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.