tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1981 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1981 · TPA → PHL

departs 12:20 PM ET · arrives 2:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
22% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.0d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    77%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.