tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 199 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 199 · MXP → JFK

departs 11:08 AM CEST · arrives 1:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
5% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 3.7d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

  1. On time or early
    90%
  2. 15–30 min late
    0%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.