tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2254 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2254 · DFW → IAD

departs 4:18 PM CT · arrives 8:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.2d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.