tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 250 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 250 · MEX → ORD

departs 1:17 PM CST · arrives 6:43 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 4.1d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    80%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.