Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2814SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2814 · SFO → ORD
departs 9:01 AM PT · arrives 3:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
8%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.