tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3161 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 3161 · LAX → ORD

departs 11:28 PM PT · arrives 5:39 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
10% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 4.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    90%
  2. 15–30 min late
    0%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.