tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 502 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 502 · MEX → PHX

departs 3:43 PM CST · arrives 6:15 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
17% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.2d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    80%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.