Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 71 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 6

AA 71 · FRA → DFW

departs 10:53 AM CEST · arrives 2:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FRA

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

FRA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DFW (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 71 · FRA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?