tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 856 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 856 · BUF → ORD

departs 6:46 PM ET · arrives 7:37 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 4.3d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.