tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 9831 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 9831 · PHL → JFK

departs 6:08 AM ET · arrives 6:53 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 3.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

  1. On time or early
    86%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.