AS 1094 · LIH → HNL

departs 1:29 PM HT · arrives 2:21 PM HT

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 44% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LIH

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LIH (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1094 · LIH → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?