AS 1432 · ANC → FAI

departs 10:15 AM AKT · arrives 11:28 AM AKT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at FAI more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FAI?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 11% of the time recently

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

FAI (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1432 · ANC → FAI

Odds over time

How late will it get to FAI?