Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1461SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1461 · SEA → SMF
departs 7:27 AM PT · arrives 8:56 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
18%chance · ±3 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SMF?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.