AS 253 · KOA → PDX

took off 11:53 AM HT · expected to land 7:57 PM PT (scheduled 11:58 AM HT → 8:35 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PDX?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are often late

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at PDX that day

Weather at each end

KOA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 253 · KOA → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?