Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2611SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 2611 · SMF → CVG
departs 11:10 AM PT · arrives 6:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 51h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.