Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2749 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 6

AS 2749 · HNL → ONT

departs 7:59 PM HT · arrives 4:17 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ONT?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ONT is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,933 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ONT (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2749 · HNL → ONT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ONT?