tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 417 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 417 · SEA → PHX

departs 12:29 PM PT · arrives 3:17 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 4.1d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.