tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 824 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 824 · NRT → SEA

departs 5:56 PM JST · arrives 12:15 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 3.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SEA?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.