Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1014
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
B6 1014 · CUN → MCO
departs 3:30 PM EST · arrives 6:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 24%
Thu 10/8 33%
Sat 10/10 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.2d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave CUN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at CUN
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
CUN (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
MCO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.78 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.