Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1447
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
B6 1447 · HPN → TPA
departs 6:31 AM ET · arrives 9:38 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 8%
Fri 10/9 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
HPN is prone to delays
↑
TPA is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HPN (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.