Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1450
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
B6 1450 · STI → FLL
departs 3:20 PM AST · arrives 5:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 24%
Thu 10/8 33%
Sat 10/10 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.1d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave STI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at STI
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
STI (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
FLL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.