Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1475
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
B6 1475 · BDL → SJU
departs 2:09 PM ET · arrives 6:15 PM AT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Mon 10/5 31%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 34%
Thu 10/8 39%
Fri 10/9 33%
Sat 10/10 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
BDL is prone to delays
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BDL
Weather at each end
BDL (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.