Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1938
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
B6 1938 · SDQ → SJU
departs 6:24 PM AST · arrives 7:45 PM AT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 34%
Thu 10/8 35%
Sat 10/10 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave SDQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SDQ
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into SJU at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SDQ (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
SJU (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.