Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Sep 29, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 606
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 6
B6 606 · SDQ → MCO
departs 5:09 PM AST · arrives 8:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Mon 10/5 50%
Tue 10/6
Wed 10/7 21%
Thu 10/8 26%
Sat 10/10 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SDQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SDQ
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SDQ (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
MCO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.54 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.